Lanzarote vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lanzarote v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals
Lanzarote 3-4 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Santander nicked a narrow win over Lanzarote 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lanzarote had 37% of the ball to Racing Santander's 63%, expected goals 0.86 to 2.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Racing Santander's control.
What was the final score of Lanzarote vs Racing Santander?
Lanzarote 3-4 Racing Santander in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lanzarote vs Racing Santander?
Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lanzarote 24%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 55%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander) — while BTTS No went the other way.