LHospitalet 1-5 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
58%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.8
Over
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
40%
4-5
15%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
30%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LHospitalet EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -24%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
213 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LHospitalet
1-5
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.98 xG 2.72
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
119 Passes 412
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LHospitalet vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza ran out comfortable winners over LHospitalet 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Zaragoza as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LHospitalet had 34% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 66%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.98 to 2.72.

What was the final score of LHospitalet vs Real Zaragoza?

LHospitalet 1-5 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LHospitalet vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split LHospitalet 18%, draw 25%, Real Zaragoza 58%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Zaragoza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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