Köln 1-4 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 29 Oct 2025

Köln
1-4 HT 1-2
Bayern Münih
📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - DFB Cup – 2025/2026

Köln vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.78
Draw
11%
5.71
Away
77%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.94
Over 2.5
70%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
9.99
2-3 Goals
36%
2.62
4-5 Goals
31%
2.36
6+ Goals
19%
3.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
15.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
16.95
1/X
3%
24.45
X/1
4%
21.8
X/2
20%
4.25
X/X
4%
11.55
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
48%
1.38
2/X
4%
21.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 16.95 — our 10% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
10%
+2.2pp
11%
Draw
14%
-3.2pp
77%
Away Win
76%
+1.0pp
30%
Under 2.5
22%
+8.5pp
70%
Over 2.5
78%
-8.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 81%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -29%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 509 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.4
– Crosses 17.6
– Yellow Cards 0.9

Köln vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.89 xG 2.42
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
278 Passes 552
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 38
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1
24.11.2023 Köln Köln 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
27.05.2023 Köln Köln 1-2 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
24.01.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln Köln AL1
15.01.2022 Köln Köln 0-4 HT 0-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
22.08.2021 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-2 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1

Köln 1-4 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
1-4
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.51 xG 4.19
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
248 Passes 447
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Köln vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih cruised past Köln 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Köln had 40% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 60%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.51 to 4.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Köln and 2.17 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Köln vs Bayern Münih?

Köln 1-4 Bayern Münih in the Germany - DFB Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Köln 12%, draw 11%, Bayern Münih 77%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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