Lugano 1-1 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 29 Nov 2025

Lugano
1-1 HT 1-0
Sion
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.24
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X EV+ ✓
10%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.23
X/2
10%
6.65
X/X
8%
4.5
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
21%
4.71
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · 1/X at 12.75 — our 10% vs market 5.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.37/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.45
-14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
16.7 Crosses 22.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sion
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.80 xG 1.03
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
481 Passes 210
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Sion Sion 4-0 HT 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
09.03.2025 Sion Sion 2-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
01.02.2025 Lugano Lugano 3-2 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV
22.09.2024 Sion Sion 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
27.04.2024 Sion Sion 0-2 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSVK
23.04.2023 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
1-1
AWAY Sion
0.82 xG 1.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
373 Passes 406
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano and Sion couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lugano had 47% of the ball to Sion's 53%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.82 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lugano and 1.33 for Sion.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Sion?

Lugano 1-1 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lugano 40%, draw 24%, Sion 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İSV More Switzerland - Super League
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