Crotone 1-0 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.80/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.86
+6% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
5W-0D-1L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Crotone Crotone 3-2 HT 2-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
27.10.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-3 HT 1-3 Crotone Crotone İTC
02.03.2024 Crotone Crotone 2-3 HT 2-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
25.10.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-2 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
23.04.2023 Crotone Crotone 3-1 HT 2-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
18.12.2022 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-3 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
1-0
AWAY SSC Giugliano
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crotone vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone edged past SSC Giugliano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 62% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 38%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Crotone and 1.67 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Crotone vs SSC Giugliano?

Crotone 1-0 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Crotone 59%, draw 22%, SSC Giugliano 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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