LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
LDU Quito 2-1 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito squeezed past Independiente Del Valle 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, LDU Quito had 68% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 32%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.47 to 0.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle?
LDU Quito 2-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 42%, draw 26%, Independiente Del Valle 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.