Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Melbourne Victory 5-1 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory swept aside Wellington Phoenix 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Melbourne Victory as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) landed.
On the day, Melbourne Victory had 58% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 42%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.89 to 1.24.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Melbourne Victory and 0.83 for Wellington Phoenix.
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Result & Final Score
Melbourne Victory 5 - 1 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory 65%, draw 20%, Wellington Phoenix 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.