Anderlecht 3-4 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jan 2025

Anderlecht
3-4 HT 1-1
Hoffenheim
📅30/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2024/2025

Anderlecht vs Hoffenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 29% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.07
1/2
12%
28.0
1/X
4%
12.3
X/1
11%
5.34
X/2
14%
6.65
X/X
19%
5.2
2/1
6%
23.4
2/2
11%
4.32
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anderlecht v Hoffenheim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.28/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.27
+37% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
18.0 Crosses 21.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 0.5

Anderlecht vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hoffenheim
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
The Meetings
11.01.2019 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-3 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht HAZ

Anderlecht 3-4 Hoffenheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
3-4
AWAY Hoffenheim
1.39 xG 1.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
338 Passes 364
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
47 Box Touches 21
33 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Hoffenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim squeezed past Anderlecht 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hoffenheim found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Anderlecht had 49% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 51%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.39 to 1.70.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Hoffenheim?

Anderlecht 3-4 Hoffenheim in the UEFA Europa League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Hoffenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 34%, draw 29%, Hoffenheim 37%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✗ Under 2.5
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