Ferencvaros vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ferencvaros v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
Ferencvaros 4-3 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
Ferencvaros nicked a narrow win over AZ Alkmaar 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Ferencvaros made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ferencvaros had 36% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 64%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.70 to 0.74.
What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs AZ Alkmaar?
Ferencvaros 4-3 AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs AZ Alkmaar?
Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 34%, draw 30%, AZ Alkmaar 36%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.