FCSB 0-2 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.22
1/2
7%
24.7
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
9.85
X/2
15%
4.16
X/X
10%
4.71
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.19
2/X
7%
14.25
Value flag · X/1 at 9.85 — our 15% vs market 6.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
19%
+14.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 58%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.69/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.95
-55% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +22%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 82%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
15.0 Crosses 13.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
0-2
AWAY Manchester United
0.57 xG 2.88
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
211 Passes 588
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United beat FCSB 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FCSB had 31% of the ball to Manchester United's 69%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.57 to 2.88.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Manchester United?

FCSB 0-2 Manchester United in the UEFA Europa League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FCSB 34%, draw 23%, Manchester United 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVL More UEFA Europa League
30 Jan 2025
23:00 Anderlecht vs Hoffenheim Analysis →
23:00 Sporting Braga vs Lazio Analysis →
23:00 Rangers vs Union Saint-Gilloise Analysis →
23:00 Ferencvaros vs AZ Alkmaar Analysis →
23:00 Tottenham vs Elfsborg Analysis →
23:00 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Porto Analysis →