Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-1 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
44%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.45
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.78
6+ Goals
8%
7.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 25% vs market 16.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
8.72
1/2
5%
20.0
1/X
6%
17.05
X/1
7%
11.4
X/2
12%
4.15
X/X
13%
6.46
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.88
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.3pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.8pp
44%
Away Win
60%
-16.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 64%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.00/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.91
-72% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -58%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
17.3 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Porto
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 12
313 Passes 452
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
04.11.2015 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-3 HT 0-1 Porto Porto ŞMP
20.10.2015 Porto Porto 2-0 HT 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
0-1
AWAY Porto
0.53 xG 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
412 Passes 365
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto nicked a narrow win over Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 53% of the ball to Porto's 47%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.53 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 2.50 for Porto.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Porto?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-1 Porto in the UEFA Europa League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 29%, draw 27%, Porto 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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