Rangers 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.85
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.0
X/1
12%
5.23
X/2
10%
7.24
X/X
11%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.55
2/2
15%
4.73
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rangers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.34/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.17
+38% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +139%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
21.8 Crosses 21.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rangers
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2022 Rangers Rangers 3-0 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise ŞMP
02.08.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rangers
2-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.75 xG 2.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
276 Passes 338
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rangers vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers squeezed past Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Rangers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rangers had 46% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 54%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.75 to 2.40 — on chances, Union Saint-Gilloise could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rangers and 1.00 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Rangers vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Rangers 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the UEFA Europa League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rangers vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rangers 40%, draw 28%, Union Saint-Gilloise 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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