Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.56
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 26% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
18%
4.52
X/2
12%
8.16
X/X
11%
5.12
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
16%
6.1
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-56% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.6 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.02.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev
1-0
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.72 xG 0.49
70% Ball Possession 30%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
613 Passes 222
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev nicked a narrow win over Rigas Skola 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Dynamo Kiev made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dynamo Kiev had 70% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 30%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.72 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Rigas Skola?

Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Rigas Skola in the UEFA Europa League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 40%, draw 26%, Rigas Skola 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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