Nice 1-1 Bodo / Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jan 2025

Nice
1-1 HT 0-0
Bodo / Glimt
📅30/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2025/2026

Nice vs Bodo / Glimt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.65
6+ Goals
10%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.73
1/2
7%
22.55
1/X
8%
12.25
X/1
13%
6.36
X/2
18%
5.85
X/X
10%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.3
2/2
18%
3.28
2/X
6%
12.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.7pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Bodo / Glimt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo / Glimt EU Bookmakers 43%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.23/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.46
-22% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
23.5 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

Nice 1-1 Bodo / Glimt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
1-1
AWAY Bodo / Glimt
1.02 xG 0.89
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
369 Passes 450
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nice vs Bodo / Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice and Bodo / Glimt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bodo / Glimt at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Nice had 45% of the ball to Bodo / Glimt's 55%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.02 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Nice vs Bodo / Glimt?

Nice 1-1 Bodo / Glimt in the UEFA Europa League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Bodo / Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo / Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nice 33%, draw 24%, Bodo / Glimt 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodo / Glimt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo / Glimt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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