Real Sociedad 2-0 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 35% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.33
X/2
14%
9.63
X/X
10%
4.74
2/1
11%
24.3
2/2
9%
7.76
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.9pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 23%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.59/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.28
-38% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
425 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
28.8 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
2-0
AWAY PAOK
1.99 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
519 Passes 428
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
34 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad saw off PAOK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 55% of the ball to PAOK's 45%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.99 to 1.41.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs PAOK?

Real Sociedad 2-0 PAOK in the UEFA Europa League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 47%, draw 25%, PAOK 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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