Roma 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 24% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.62
X/2
8%
9.76
X/X
11%
5.45
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
13%
7.07
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · X/1 at 4.62 — our 24% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.66/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.73
+28% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.3 Crosses 12.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
2-0
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.95 xG 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
485 Passes 549
91% Pass Accuracy 90%
27 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roma vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma beat Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Roma had 47% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 53%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.95 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Roma vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Roma 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt in the UEFA Europa League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Roma 48%, draw 24%, Eintracht Frankfurt 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✗ Over 2.5
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