Slavia Prag 2-2 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.95
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
21%
4.21
X/2
9%
11.1
X/X
12%
5.85
2/1
7%
21.2
2/2
9%
8.62
2/X
5%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 21%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.80/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.14
+22% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
39.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
33.0 Crosses 13.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
2-2
AWAY Malmö FF
1.83 xG 2.46
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
299 Passes 180
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
42 Box Touches 22
44 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag and Malmö FF shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Slavia Prag at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 60% of the ball to Malmö FF's 40%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.83 to 2.46.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Malmö FF?

Slavia Prag 2-2 Malmö FF in the UEFA Europa League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 52%, draw 22%, Malmö FF 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Slavia Prag), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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