Twente 1-0 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
23%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.39
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
14%
4.91
X/2
7%
8.42
X/X
14%
6.11
2/1
6%
19.8
2/2
14%
5.47
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 29%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.07/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/3.44
-96% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
Crosses 19.2
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
1-0
AWAY Beşiktaş
2.21 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
376 Passes 377
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Twente vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente squeezed past Beşiktaş 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Twente had 49% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 51%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.21 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Twente's control.

What was the final score of Twente vs Beşiktaş?

Twente 1-0 Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Twente 47%, draw 25%, Beşiktaş 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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