Istra 1961 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.84
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.9pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
1.25/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.23
-6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.1 Crosses 19.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
314 Passes 298
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
09.08.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
03.05.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
04.03.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIRK
28.02.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-2 HT 3-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
01.12.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.99 xG 1.12
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
422 Passes 168
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 and Lokomotiva Zagreb couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 66% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 34%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.99 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.00 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Istra 1961 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 40%, draw 25%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Istra 1961), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →