Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lokomotiva Zagreb v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics
Istra 1961 edged past Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiva Zagreb at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 48% of the ball to Istra 1961's 52%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.89 to 1.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lokomotiva Zagreb.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.67 for Istra 1961.
What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 49%, draw 24%, Istra 1961 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.