NK Varazdin 1-3 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.04/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.17
-30% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.0 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.84 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
277 Passes 310
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 3-1 HT 1-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
22.04.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
16.02.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-1 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
10.11.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
24.08.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
06.04.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
1-3
AWAY Slaven Belupo
0.88 xG 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
360 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Slaven Belupo beat NK Varazdin 3-1 away from home in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 25 Oct 2025. Half-time: 1-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 56% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 44%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.88 to 2.00.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Varazdin and 0.83 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo?

NK Varazdin 1-3 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 46%, draw 24%, Slaven Belupo 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NK Varazdin), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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