Antoniano 2-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.9pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antoniano EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.23/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.07
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antoniano
1W-1D-1L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 2-1 HT 2-0 Antoniano Antoniano İS4
11.02.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Antoniano Antoniano İS4
01.10.2023 Antoniano Antoniano 1-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antoniano
2-1
AWAY UCAM Murcia
59% Ball Possession 41%
3 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antoniano vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antoniano squeezed past UCAM Murcia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Antoniano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Antoniano had 59% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 41%, shots finished 3-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Antoniano and 0.67 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of Antoniano vs UCAM Murcia?

Antoniano 2-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antoniano vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Antoniano 30%, draw 32%, UCAM Murcia 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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