Atletico Baleares 3-0 UD Alzira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
27%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
67%
-15.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
12%
+15.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.62/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.86
-1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Baleares
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UD Alzira
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.11.2024 UD Alzira UD Alzira 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
3-0
AWAY UD Alzira
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs UD Alzira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Baleares ran out comfortable winners over UD Alzira 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Baleares as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 58% of the ball to UD Alzira's 42%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs UD Alzira?

Atletico Baleares 3-0 UD Alzira in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs UD Alzira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Baleares win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 51%, draw 22%, UD Alzira 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Baleares), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Baleares) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
30 Mar 2025
12:30 La Union Atletico vs Estepona Analysis →
12:30 CD Coria vs Melilla Analysis →
12:30 Getafe II vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →
12:45 Cornella vs Pena Deportiva Analysis →
13:00 Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:00 Villanovense vs Orihuela Analysis →