Bergantinos 1-1 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 53%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -17%
2.05/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.87
+119% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
236 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pontevedra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-0 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
13.02.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-1 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
26.09.2021 Bergantinos Bergantinos 2-2 HT 0-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos and Pontevedra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pontevedra at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bergantinos and 1.00 for Pontevedra.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Pontevedra?

Bergantinos 1-1 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 25%, draw 28%, Pontevedra 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pontevedra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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