Conquense 1-0 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.29
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
47%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
27%
-5.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Conquense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 45%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
2.08/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.53
+121% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +78%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
238 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Conquense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Talavera CF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.11.2024 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-0 HT 1-0 Conquense Conquense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Conquense
1-0
AWAY Talavera CF
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Conquense vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Conquense squeezed past Talavera CF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Talavera CF at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Conquense had 45% of the ball to Talavera CF's 55%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Conquense vs Talavera CF?

Conquense 1-0 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Conquense vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Conquense 21%, draw 32%, Talavera CF 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Talavera CF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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