Numancia 3-0 Gimnastica Torrelavega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.51
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.0pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
1.67/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.33
+2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Numancia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-0 HT 0-0 Numancia Numancia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Numancia
3-0
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Numancia vs Gimnastica Torrelavega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia ran out comfortable winners over Gimnastica Torrelavega 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (65%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Numancia had 42% of the ball to Gimnastica Torrelavega's 58%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Numancia vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Numancia 3-0 Gimnastica Torrelavega in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Numancia 52%, draw 25%, Gimnastica Torrelavega 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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