SD Logrones 3-1 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
SD Logrones win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.15/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.63
-25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SD Logrones
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gernika
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 Gernika Gernika 1-0 HT 0-0 SD Logrones SD Logrones İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SD Logrones
3-1
AWAY Gernika
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SD Logrones vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones saw off Gernika 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SD Logrones had 52% of the ball to Gernika's 48%, shots finished 21-4.

What was the final score of SD Logrones vs Gernika?

SD Logrones 3-1 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SD Logrones vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated a SD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split SD Logrones 59%, draw 21%, Gernika 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SD Logrones) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
30 Mar 2025
12:30 La Union Atletico vs Estepona Analysis →
12:30 CD Coria vs Melilla Analysis →
12:30 Getafe II vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →
12:45 Cornella vs Pena Deportiva Analysis →
13:00 Tenerife II vs Mostoles Analysis →
13:00 Villanovense vs Orihuela Analysis →