Danubio 1-2 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.77/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.44
+24% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Progreso
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.02.2026 Danubio Danubio 2-2 HT 1-1 Progreso Progreso URU
24.08.2025 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
31.05.2025 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
23.02.2025 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
12.10.2024 Progreso Progreso 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
06.04.2024 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
1-2
AWAY Progreso
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Danubio vs Progreso
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Progreso edged past Danubio 2-1 away from home in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30 May 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Danubio had 53% of the ball to Progreso's 47%, shots finished 9-23.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Danubio and 0.83 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Progreso?

Danubio 1-2 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Danubio 49%, draw 30%, Progreso 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
30 May 2026
01:30 Cerro Largo vs Cerro Analysis →
16:00 Racing Club Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Analysis →