Alfreton Town vs Mansfield Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfreton Town v Mansfield Town — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Mansfield Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Mansfield Town
HAZ
0-3
HT 0-1
Mansfield Town
İBSL
1-2
HT 1-1
Alfreton Town
İBSL
3-6
HT 3-4
Mansfield Town
İBSL
3-2
HT 0-2
Alfreton Town
İBSL
Alfreton Town 1-1 Mansfield Town — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town and Mansfield Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Mansfield Town at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alfreton Town had 33% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 67%, shots finished 4-16.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Alfreton Town and 2.80 for Mansfield Town.
What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Mansfield Town?
Alfreton Town 1-1 Mansfield Town in the Friendlies on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Mansfield Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 23%, draw 23%, Mansfield Town 54%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.