İspanya U23 1-2 Mısır U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.5
1/2
15%
34.5
1/X
3%
14.65
X/1
7%
3.99
X/2
8%
8.7
X/X
19%
3.87
2/1
3%
30.0
2/2
7%
7.52
2/X
3%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya U23 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mısır U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mısır U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.11 xG 0.25
71% Ball Possession 29%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
663 Passes 222
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
22.07.2021 Mısır U23 Mısır U23 0-0 HT 0-0 İspanya U23 İspanya U23 OLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya U23
1-2
AWAY Mısır U23
1.31 xG 2.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 5
552 Passes 327
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 21
31 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İspanya U23 vs Mısır U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mısır U23 squeezed past İspanya U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was İspanya U23 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, İspanya U23 had 62% of the ball to Mısır U23's 38%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 1.31 to 2.21.

What was the final score of İspanya U23 vs Mısır U23?

İspanya U23 1-2 Mısır U23 in the Olympics on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya U23 vs Mısır U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split İspanya U23 45%, draw 26%, Mısır U23 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İspanya U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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