Ukrayna U23 0-2 Arjantin U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.69
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.28
6+ Goals
8%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 31% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
7.53
1/2
6%
22.3
1/X
7%
16.4
X/1
17%
9.78
X/2
19%
3.83
X/X
14%
5.61
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.09
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-9.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
+69% / +69% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+59% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
227 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna U23
0-2
AWAY Arjantin U23
0.94 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
430 Passes 468
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ukrayna U23 vs Arjantin U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin U23 beat Ukrayna U23 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arjantin U23 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Ukrayna U23 had 48% of the ball to Arjantin U23's 52%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.94 to 1.07.

What was the final score of Ukrayna U23 vs Arjantin U23?

Ukrayna U23 0-2 Arjantin U23 in the Olympics on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna U23 vs Arjantin U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arjantin U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna U23 25%, draw 28%, Arjantin U23 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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