Fas U23 3-0 Irak U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.79
2-3 Goals
35%
2.04
4-5 Goals
33%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.7
X/1
16%
4.04
X/2
4%
11.5
X/X
13%
7.05
2/1
4%
19.2
2/2
13%
7.66
2/X EV+ ✗
8%
15.9
Value flag · 2/X at 15.9 — our 8% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.7pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas U23 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Irak U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fas U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Irak U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
12.10.2023 Fas U23 Fas U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Irak U23 Irak U23 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas U23
3-0
AWAY Irak U23
1.86 xG 0.62
74% Ball Possession 26%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
645 Passes 177
93% Pass Accuracy 77%
52 Box Touches 13
6 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fas U23 vs Irak U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas U23 swept aside Irak U23 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fas U23 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Fas U23 had 74% of the ball to Irak U23's 26%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.86 to 0.62.

What was the final score of Fas U23 vs Irak U23?

Fas U23 3-0 Irak U23 in the Olympics on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas U23 vs Irak U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fas U23 52%, draw 26%, Irak U23 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fas U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
OLY More Olympics
30 Jul 2024
16:00 Dominik Cumhuriyeti U23 vs Özbekistan U23 Analysis →
16:00 İspanya U23 vs Mısır U23 Analysis →
18:00 Ukrayna U23 vs Arjantin U23 Analysis →
20:00 Yeni Zelanda U23 vs Fransa U23 Analysis →
20:00 ABD U23 vs Gine U23 Analysis →
22:00 Paraguay U23 vs Mali U23 Analysis →