Dominik Cumhuriyeti U23 1-1 Özbekistan U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.1
2-3 Goals
46%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
6%
7.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
4.94
1/2
6%
20.85
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
12%
7.67
X/2
17%
4.68
X/X EV+ ✓
19%
5.98
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
22%
2.5
2/X
4%
13.35
Value flag · X/X at 5.98 — our 19% vs market 12.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dominik Cumhuriyeti U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Özbekistan U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
309 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dominik Cumhuriyeti U23
1-1
AWAY Özbekistan U23
1.85 xG 1.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
343 Passes 341
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dominik Cumhuriyeti U23 vs Özbekistan U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dominik Cumhuriyeti U23 and Özbekistan U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Özbekistan U23 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dominik Cumhuriyeti U23 had 50% of the ball to Özbekistan U23's 50%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.85 to 1.85.

What was the final score of Dominik Cumhuriyeti U23 vs Özbekistan U23?

Dominik Cumhuriyeti U23 1-1 Özbekistan U23 in the Olympics on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dominik Cumhuriyeti U23 vs Özbekistan U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Özbekistan U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dominik Cumhuriyeti U23 25%, draw 30%, Özbekistan U23 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Özbekistan U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Özbekistan U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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