Yeni Zelanda U23 0-3 Fransa U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.79
6+ Goals
7%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 32% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
10.3
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
11%
19.1
X/1
9%
12.0
X/2
23%
3.48
X/X
3%
5.3
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.91
2/X
7%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
60%
Away Win
61%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Zelanda U23 EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa U23 EU Bookmakers 66%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeni Zelanda U23
0-3
AWAY Fransa U23
0.55 xG 2.64
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 34
1 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 14
256 Passes 558
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 54
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Yeni Zelanda U23 vs Fransa U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U23 swept aside Yeni Zelanda U23 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fransa U23 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Yeni Zelanda U23 had 34% of the ball to Fransa U23's 66%, shots finished 9-34, expected goals 0.55 to 2.64.

What was the final score of Yeni Zelanda U23 vs Fransa U23?

Yeni Zelanda U23 0-3 Fransa U23 in the Olympics on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Zelanda U23 vs Fransa U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Yeni Zelanda U23 18%, draw 21%, Fransa U23 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa U23), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fransa U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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