ABD U23 3-0 Gine U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
8.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.9
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
3%
16.25
X/1
24%
3.82
X/2
10%
11.4
X/X
11%
6.34
2/1
4%
20.75
2/2
10%
8.38
2/X
11%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD U23 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gine U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD U23
3-0
AWAY Gine U23
1.45 xG 0.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
270 Passes 494
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ABD U23 vs Gine U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD U23 ran out comfortable winners over Gine U23 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ABD U23 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ABD U23 had 38% of the ball to Gine U23's 62%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.45 to 0.92.

What was the final score of ABD U23 vs Gine U23?

ABD U23 3-0 Gine U23 in the Olympics on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD U23 vs Gine U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split ABD U23 53%, draw 24%, Gine U23 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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