Valour 2-1 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
55%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
55%
Away Win
49%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 54%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.87/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.79
-12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
17.1 Crosses 15.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cavalry
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
308 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
26.05.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 4-0 HT 1-0 Valour Valour KAPL
19.10.2024 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
31.08.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 0-0 Valour Valour KAPL
08.07.2024 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
27.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
2-1
AWAY Cavalry
0.95 xG 1.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
280 Passes 444
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valour vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valour squeezed past Cavalry 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cavalry at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Valour had 41% of the ball to Cavalry's 59%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.95 to 1.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cavalry.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valour and 2.00 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Valour vs Cavalry?

Valour 2-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Valour 22%, draw 23%, Cavalry 55%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cavalry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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