Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Austria - Bundesliga, 30 Aug 2026

📅30/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sturm Graz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
248 Passes 314
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2026 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
05.04.2026 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-2 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
02.11.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
10.08.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-2 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
18.05.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-1 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
04.04.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
PREVIEW Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Rapid Wien in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

Rapid Wien's defence has been shut tight at home — 4 clean sheets in their last 5 league games there; meanwhile, Sturm Graz's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Rapid Wien against 1.50 for Sturm Graz.

Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz Kick-off Time

Rapid Wien play Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/08/2026, kick-off 18:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz is a Rapid Wien win at about 44% probability, priced 2.09 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Rapid Wien 44%, draw 26%, Sturm Graz 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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