Sturm Graz 2-0 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.42/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.74
-24% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.8 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
319 Passes 273
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2026 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-2 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
02.11.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
10.08.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-2 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
18.05.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-1 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
04.04.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
02.11.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
2-0
AWAY Rapid Wien
2.75 xG 0.20
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
382 Passes 151
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
44 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 8
FAQ Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sturm Graz beat Rapid Wien 2-0 in the Austria - Bundesliga on 17 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was favoured at 60%.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 67% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 33%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 2.75 to 0.20.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.33 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien?

Sturm Graz 2-0 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 49%, draw 24%, Rapid Wien 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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