Salzburg 1-3 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.28
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.98
4-5 Goals
29%
2.47
6+ Goals
12%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
74%
+2.6pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.4pp
10%
Away Win
10%
-0.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
2.40/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.94
+23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +45%
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
443 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 65%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
20.7 Crosses 10.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hartberg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.55 xG 1.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
449 Passes 251
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 1-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
01.03.2026 Salzburg Salzburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
16.08.2025 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
04.12.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 4-0 HT 2-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
30.11.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
12.05.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-5 HT 1-3 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
1-3
AWAY Hartberg
1.84 xG 1.05
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 2
444 Passes 209
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 11
43 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Salzburg vs Hartberg
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Hartberg beat Salzburg 3-1 away from home in the Austria - Bundesliga on 17 May 2026. Half-time: 0-2.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Salzburg had 66% of the ball to Hartberg's 34%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.84 to 1.05.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Salzburg and 0.67 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Hartberg?

Salzburg 1-3 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 77%, draw 14%, Hartberg 10%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Salzburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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