Hartberg 1-2 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
60%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.89
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 25% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.59
1/2
10%
21.4
1/X
4%
16.35
X/1
7%
11.0
X/2 EV+ ✗
28%
4.16
X/X
12%
5.73
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
22%
1.95
2/X
5%
14.45
Value flag · X/2 at 4.16 — our 28% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.13/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.04
-6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
242 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 75%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
12.6 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Salzburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.07 xG 2.89
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
267 Passes 470
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 37
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2026 Salzburg Salzburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
16.08.2025 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
04.12.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 4-0 HT 2-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
30.11.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
12.05.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-5 HT 1-3 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
17.03.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 5-1 HT 2-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
1-2
AWAY Salzburg
1.15 xG 2.01
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
180 Passes 360
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 44
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Hartberg vs Salzburg
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Salzburg edged past Hartberg 2-1 away from home in the Austria - Bundesliga on 5 Apr 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hartberg had 38% of the ball to Salzburg's 62%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.15 to 2.01.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hartberg and 2.83 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Salzburg?

Hartberg 1-2 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 19%, draw 21%, Salzburg 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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