Rapid Wien 0-2 Sturm Graz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.8
Over 2.5
60%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.99
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
13%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.78
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.68
X/2
17%
7.26
X/X
11%
4.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.5
2/X
4%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
27%
-7.1pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
52%
-11.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
48%
+11.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.57/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.70
-13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
22.6 Crosses 16.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sturm Graz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.62 xG 1.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
286 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
10.08.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-2 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
18.05.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-1 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
04.04.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
02.11.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
04.08.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-0 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
0-2
AWAY Sturm Graz
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
FAQ Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sturm Graz beat Rapid Wien 2-0 away from home in the Austria - Bundesliga on 5 Apr 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 54% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 46%, shots finished 4-15.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.00 for Sturm Graz.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz?

Rapid Wien 0-2 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 45%, draw 20%, Sturm Graz 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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