Farnborough 3-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 26% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +16%
1.88/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.17
+6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
11.04.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 3-1 HT 2-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
07.11.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
04.04.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
18.03.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
3-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough got the better of Chippenham Town 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Farnborough had 52% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 48%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Farnborough and 1.40 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Chippenham Town?

Farnborough 3-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 45%, draw 26%, Chippenham Town 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Over 2.5
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