Institute FC 3-3 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.06/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/2.13
-34% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
29.11.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
20.09.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
01.04.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 3-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
30.12.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
26.10.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
21.09.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 4-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC and Newington Youth shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Newington Youth at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newington Youth led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Institute FC and 1.67 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Newington Youth?

Institute FC 3-3 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 34%, draw 23%, Newington Youth 43%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newington Youth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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