Avellino vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avellino v Cesena — Team-Based Signals
Avellino vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cesena
İTB
3-1
HT 2-0
Avellino
İTB
1-1
HT 1-1
Cesena
İTB
3-0
HT 1-0
Avellino
İTB
1-2
HT 1-1
Cesena
İTB
Avellino 3-1 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics
Avellino saw off Cesena 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Avellino made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Avellino had 49% of the ball to Cesena's 51%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.63 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Avellino and 2.17 for Cesena.
What was the final score of Avellino vs Cesena?
Avellino 3-1 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avellino vs Cesena?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Avellino 31%, draw 29%, Cesena 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cesena), Under 2.5 went the other way.