Südtirol vs Catanzaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Südtirol v Catanzaro — Team-Based Signals
Südtirol vs Catanzaro Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Catanzaro
İTB
Südtirol 2-1 Catanzaro — Actual Match Statistics
Südtirol edged past Catanzaro 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Südtirol as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Südtirol had 34% of the ball to Catanzaro's 66%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.67 to 1.23 — the balance of chances actually favoured Catanzaro.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Catanzaro led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Südtirol and 1.60 for Catanzaro.
What was the final score of Südtirol vs Catanzaro?
Südtirol 2-1 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Catanzaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 44%, draw 28%, Catanzaro 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.