Empoli 0-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
29.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
10%
6.92
X/2
17%
4.98
X/X
10%
4.1
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
22%
3.15
2/X
8%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
47%
Away Win
42%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.25/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.93
-22% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.5
20.6 Crosses 25.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Modena
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.37 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
275 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.10.2025 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 1-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
15.03.2014 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
05.10.2013 Empoli Empoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
19.03.2013 Modena Modena 2-3 HT 1-2 Empoli Empoli İTB
27.10.2012 Empoli Empoli 4-2 HT 2-0 Modena Modena İTB
21.04.2012 Empoli Empoli 1-3 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
0-0
AWAY Modena
0.55 xG 0.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
265 Passes 346
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Modena played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Modena at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Empoli had 46% of the ball to Modena's 54%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.55 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Empoli and 1.67 for Modena.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Modena?

Empoli 0-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Empoli 29%, draw 24%, Modena 47%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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