Venezia vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venezia v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals
Venezia vs Carrarese Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Carrarese
İTK
Venezia 2-1 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics
Venezia edged past Carrarese 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Venezia had 70% of the ball to Carrarese's 30%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.08 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Venezia's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Venezia and 1.50 for Carrarese.
What was the final score of Venezia vs Carrarese?
Venezia 2-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venezia vs Carrarese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Venezia 69%, draw 16%, Carrarese 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.