Virtus Entella 1-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 31% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.04
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.99
X/2
15%
5.76
X/X
14%
4.34
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
15%
3.8
2/X
5%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.41/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.32
-1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
22.6 Crosses 18.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Frosinone
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.72 xG 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
286 Passes 374
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2025 Frosinone Frosinone 4-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
14.02.2021 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-3 HT 1-2 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
20.10.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
01.02.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
14.09.2019 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
12.05.2018 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
1-1
AWAY Frosinone
2.00 xG 1.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
169 Passes 288
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella and Frosinone shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 41% of the ball to Frosinone's 59%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.00 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Virtus Entella and 1.50 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Frosinone?

Virtus Entella 1-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 34%, draw 29%, Frosinone 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Frosinone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frosinone) ✓ Under 2.5
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