Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.78
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
13%
4.5
X/2
8%
7.68
X/X
10%
4.15
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
6.32
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.71/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.43
+12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.2 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.11 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
416 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
17.05.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
24.11.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
10.02.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-3 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
05.08.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
31.03.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
2-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.79 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
298 Passes 338
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze edged past Piast Gliwice 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gornik Zabrze as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 48% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 52%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.79 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 0.67 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice?

Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 46%, draw 26%, Piast Gliwice 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
31 Jan 2026
19:30 Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Analysis →
22:15 Lech Poznan vs Lechia Gdansk Analysis →