Widzew Lodz 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
12%
5.08
X/2
14%
6.71
X/X
14%
4.91
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.72
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.0 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +26%
1.39/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.57
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
20.5 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.24 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
302 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-2 HT 1-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
09.03.2025 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
01.09.2024 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
11.02.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 1-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
04.08.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
03.02.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-3
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.68 xG 1.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
305 Passes 244
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Jagiellonia Bialystok beat Widzew Lodz 3-1 away from home in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 31 Jan 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 54% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 46%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.68 to 1.23.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.83 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Widzew Lodz 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 41%, draw 26%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Widzew Lodz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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